2023 MLB playoffs: Phillies vs Diamondbacks odds,
SportsLine‘s computer model simulated Monday’s NLCA Game 1 Arizona Phillies vs Diamondbacks, matchup 10,000 times and released its MLB picks
On Monday, the first game of the National League Championship Series will be played between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks. The opening game at Philadelphia‘s Citizens Bank Park kicks off the best-of-seven series. Both teams defeated top-seeded opponents in the NLDS to earn Wild Card spots in the 2023 MLB Playoffs. While Philadelphia defeated the Atlanta Braves in four games, Arizona defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game sweep.
The opening pitch is set for 8:07 ET. In the most recent Phillies vs Diamondbacks odds, SportsLine consensus rates Philadelphia as -169 money line favorites (risk $169 to win $100). The over/under, or total number of runs predicted by Vegas, is 7.5. Check out the SportsLine Projection Model’s most recent MLB predictions and betting tips before settling on any Phillies vs Diamondbacks picks.
10,000 times of each MLB game are simulated by the SportsLine Projection Model. Over the past two seasons, it had a 331-285 record on top-ranked MLB money-line picks (+357). On all top-rated MLB picks this season, it entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74. It also performed exceptionally well on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Any followers have seen significant gains.
The model has just locked in its picks and MLB predictions for the upcoming Phillies vs Diamondbacks game. To view the model’s predictions, go to SportsLine right away. Here are some MLB odds and trends for the Diamondbacks vs Phillies matchup:
Phillies vs Diamondbacks money line: Phillies -169, Diamondbacks +144
Phillies vs Diamondbacks over/under: 7.5 runs
Phillies vs Diamondbacks run line: Phillies -1.5 (+128)
Arizona: The Diamondbacks are 45-40 in 2023 road games, including playoffs
Philadelphia: The Phillies are 53-32 in 2023 home games, including playoffs
Phillies vs Diamondback picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona swept Los Angeles in the NLDS, and the Diamondbacks are now having an outstanding season. Arizona is averaging 6.0 runs per game with seven stolen bases during the postseason, and the Diamondbacks have a.877 OPS and 13 home runs in five playoff games going into the NLCS. Arizona led the league in triples during the regular season with 44, and their quickness is demonstrated by their 166 base stealers. With only 1,247 strikeouts, the Diamondbacks had the second-lowest strikeout total in the NL, and Corbin Carroll is one of the greatest young players in the league.
In five playoff games, he has a slash line of.412/.565/.824 and has contributed two home runs, two stolen bases, six walks, and only one strikeout. Carroll led the National League with 10 triples and became the first rookie in MLB history to have at least 25 home runs and 50 stolen bases. Arizona boasts a strong starting rotation, and the bullpen for the Diamondbacks has been excellent during the postseason. Arizona’s relievers are allowing opponents to hit just 219, and their 20.1 innings of work have resulted in a 1.77 ERA with 23 strikeouts for the Diamondbacks. View the team to support you here.
Why you should back the Phillies
The 2023 MLB playoffs are currently being led by Philadelphia’s offense, which is slamming 13 home runs and 13 doubles while maintaining a.892 OPS. The Phillies come into this game with excellent run prevention, featuring Zack Wheeler, one of the finest starters in the league. In the regular season, Wheeler tossed 192 innings with a 3.61 ERA, including a 3.01 ERA in the last 13 starts. Wheeler also had a WHIP (1.078) and strikeout-to-walk ratio (5.44) that were in the top three in the National League, and right-handed batters had an OPS of just 548 against him.
Wheeler is also a force in the postseason, posting a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings of work while striking out 18 batters and walking just one. He has a 2.59 career playoff ERA, and Philadelphia’s bullpen appears to be in good shape. In 18.2 innings of postseason play, Phillies relievers have combined for a 1.45 ERA, allowing opponents to hit just.214 off of them. During the regular season, Philadelphia’s bullpen was strong as well, recording top-three marks for ERA (3.58) and walks allowed (217). View the team to support you here.
How to make Phillies vs Diamondback
The total is projected to go over by 8.8 runs, according to SportsLine’s model. It also states that the entire value on the money line is on one side. The model’s MLB picks are only available at SportsLine.
